I know you’re paying attention to Alabama and
I know you’re paying attention to Alabama and
in Hier könnt Ihr Umfragen erstellen und Posten 23.09.2019 03:25von panxing18 • Gas Geselle | 254 Beiträge
the way it’s scorching all comers this season. But I’d like a moment to look at how Clemson is also walloping its opponents ... after getting some things figured out.The Tigers have had an odd season Devonta Freeman Jersey 2019 , but they’re starting to look like a team that could pose an actual challenge to the Tide. The root of their September issues is pretty clear: Clemson didn’t have its quarterback situation settled. It seems like a lifetime ago, but both the Tigers and Tide had quarterback controversies at the end of August.The Tide settled theirs in camp, while Clemson had a four-week audition for Trevor Lawrence and Kelly Bryant. The Tigers didn’t look demonstrative throughout and probably should have lost to Texas A&M, though I’d argue the Week 4 win should have been an even bigger blowout, given the fact that Georgia Tech somehow recovered seven of its eight fumbles. Then in Week 5, new starter Lawrence got hurt as Clemson clunked to a win over Syracuse.Clemson was winning, but wasn’t destroying teams like a squad with this talent level should’ve been. But that’s exactly what Clemson’s done since. Below, S&P+’s adjusted scoring margin tells us how much a team would’ve won by against a perfectly average team with an average number of breaks. Percentile performances tell us how well a team or unit performed on a bell curve. (I’ve bolded the higher relative number in each comparison.)First, here’s a control group game: Alabama vs. A&M as compared to a two-QB Clemson vs. Texas A&M Black Matt Ryan Jersey , something of a control group game. The Tigers got them on the road with their QB situation still unsettled and struggled mightily in Week 2, but the Tide got them at home two weeks later and won handily. Clemson at Texas A&M: -1.7 adjusted scoring margin/57th percentile overall/69th percentile offense/25th percentile defenseAlabama vs. Texas A&M: +28/94th/88th/60thEven beyond the final score and accounting for location, Bama clearly played better against A&M.Next, let’s do their common opponent that came after Lawrence took over: Louisville. Clemson vs. Louisville: +53.5 adjusted scoring margin/87th percentile overall/86th percentile offense/91st percentile defenseAlabama vs. Louisville: +40.8/83rd/71st/89thIt should be noted that Bama could’ve beaten U of L worse if it wanted to and didn’t have Week 1 “rust,” but the numbers think Clemson looked better against Louisville.Next, let’s take a blind sample of three Alabama and Clemson blowouts over similar conference opponents ranked by S&P+, with each game in the month since Lawrence started playing full games.Clemson at S&P+ No. 87: +48.2 adjusted scoring margin/86th percentile overall/83rd percentile offense/94th percentile defenseAlabama at No. 82: +33/81st/79th/66thClemson at No. 75: +41.9 adjusted scoring margin/92nd percentile overall/98th percentile offense/94th percentile defenseAlabama at No. 79: +27.3/89th/92nd/28thClemson vs. No. 40: +39.4 adjusted scoring margin/92nd percentile overall/80th percentile offense/94th percentile defenseAlabama vs. No. 20: +40.9/96th/82nd/92ndA pretty even split, arguably tilted toward Clemson.Of course, then the Tide have the trump card of beating the hell out of LSU on the road in a hostile environment. (Clemson’s fourth game in this list was the Louisville game.)Alabama at LSU (No. 22): +42.5/97th/94th/94thThey played an excellent game against a team that was ranked in the Playoff committee’s top three. But keep in mind S&P+ was never impressed with LSU to begin with Matt Ryan Jersey 2019 , meaning the numbers aren’t exactly gonna view that the same as the human polls did. So where does this leave us? According to S&P+, Alabama would be a 2.2-point favorite over Clemson on a neutral field. That number comes from Alabama being a 31.4-point favorite against a perfectly average college football team and Clemson being a 29.2-point favorite. And if S&P+ filters out pre-Lawrence games, it becomes a pick ‘em:Vegas gives the Tide a bigger advantage, but when a top-four LSU is a two-touchdown underdog at home, only 8.5 on a neutral field is a testament to Clemson. It’s also down from the 11.5-point spread Clemson was getting two months earlier as Vegas monitors continued improvement.Since 2005, only 2016’s Alabama team was rated higher than 31 versus an average team in S&P+. Clemson has a chance to get there if they keep beating teams by five touchdowns the rest of the way. They’re closer together at Nos. 1 & 2 in S&P+ than Clemson is to No. 3 Michigan (25.4 points better than an average team). Clemson is as far ahead of unbeaten Notre Dame (No. 7 in S&P+) as Notre Dame is ahead of Purdue (No. 26).Alabama’s strength is its offense, and its passing offense in particular. On offense, Clemson’s better running than it is passing. When you stack the defenses up against each other, the Tigers have the best D with a loaded front-seven. It’s why if they do play each other in an eventual Playoff Black Vic Beasley Jr Jersey , the game might just be the best version of the matchup we’ve seen and the matchup of Tua Tagovailoa vs. Clemson’s defense will likely be what that game hinges on. Clemson still has some work to do get to Alabama’s level, but they’ve already taken steps. With the federal government shut down and no apparently easy way for Congress to give the President a non-victory that can be characterized as a victory, concerns have emerged regarding security in and around the Super Bowl. Falcons owner Arthur Blank, who is hosting the Super Bowl, isn’t concerned about that.Appearing on , Blank said that the government shutdown won’t affect security at the game because “all the funding for the event has been in place for a couple of years now.”That doesn’t address all concerns, especially in light of the thousands of travelers who will be flying into and out of the Atlanta airport.“We are a little concerned about TSA, but we’ve been assured by them that they’re going to move 120 additional officers to Atlanta, so I think the experience will be fine Vic Beasley Jr Jersey 2019 ,” Blank said, via .It’s unclear how TSA, with no funding, will be able to fund the transport 120 extra officers to Atlanta. It should be more clear that those folks won’t be happy with the notion of having to show up and work for free (again) while away from home.In this age of reality-TV-turned-reality, thousands have now been unwillingly pulled through the looking glass and made to play the role of extras in a 24/7 drama. Not nearly enough people seem to be bothered by it. And the media generally isn’t doing nearly enough to speak loudly and clearly on behalf of the majority of Americans who want this sad, pathetic, not-so-great chapter of our history to end.
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